Advertisement According to a symptom-tracking research released today, the number of Britons feeling unwell with Covid per day has decreased for the first time since May.
According to King’s College London scientists, 33,118 persons were infected with the virus every day in the week ending July 10 — up from 33,723 in the previous seven days.
Cases have been rapidly increasing throughout June, with the loosening of regulations being blamed for triggering a third wave — while some scientists believe Euro 2020 was to blame for the increase.
But, according to the King’s app, instances in Scotland have dropped by half in the last fortnight, coinciding with the national team’s elimination from the football tournament in the group stages.
Professor Tim Spector, the app’s chief epidemiologist, said instances were ‘plateauing’ across the country, but the rate of decline was slower than during the second wave.
He thought they may have already peaked earlier this week.
‘We’re seeing overall incidence rates in the UK plateau with an R value of 1.0, which is fantastic news,’ he said.
‘But, the numbers are still high, with around one in 142 persons infected with Covid, so we’ll keep a careful eye on numbers and the impact of the Euro Football Championship in the coming days and weeks,’ Professor Spector said. About half of infections are now among vaccinated Britons, according to the data, indicating that the virus is ‘running out’ of un-vaccinated people to infect.
According to studies, no vaccination is 100 percent effective in preventing infection, but it does reduce the chance of serious illness, hospitalization, and death.
Scientists are concerned that the Covid symptom study, which is based on daily data from over a million British, is no longer a “reliable enough guide.”
Although official numbers back up assertions that Scotland’s outbreak is decreasing, no other poll has yet to show a decrease in cases.
According to numbers released today by Test and Trace, illnesses increased by 43% in the week ending July 7, with 194,000 new infections registered over the seven-day period.
For the first time since mid-January, when the second wave was beginning to fade, Britain recorded more than 42,000 cases yesterday.
Ministers are concerned that the tally could reach 100,000 by August.
Surveillance data reveals that nearly half of cases are now found among British who have had at least one dose of the vaccination (orange line), while unvaccinated people (blue line) are declining.
Professor Spector speculated that this is because the virus is ‘running out’ of unvaccinated persons to infect. Test and Trace statistics released today revealed that cases increased by 43% last week.
They stated 194,000 positive tests were reported in the week ending July 7, the largest number since late January, when the second wave was winding down. Oxford University’s Professor James Naismith expressed alarm over the statistics.
‘That would suggest that ZOE is not offering a credible guide to this wave given it had identified a peak of 33,000 instances yesterday,’ he stated in response to surging daily cases.
‘Of course, no measure is perfect, and ZOE has proven instructive in the past; it’s possible that changes in symptoms and/or behavior are confounding it.’ According to the current ZOE/King’s College study, instances have reduced by 1% across the country.
It’s the first drop since May 22, when they fell by 7% to 2,550 new infections per day at the end of the second wave.
Scotland was a major contributor to this week’s decline in cases, with daily infections dropping from 4,780 to 2,760.
It comes only three weeks after the team was eliminated from the Euro 2020 tournament, which has been connected to an outbreak of diseases.
Infections were also down by a fifth among those who had not received the vaccination, but up by two fifths among those who had received at least one dose, according to the data.
Professor Spector went on to say that instances were anticipated to rise among vaccinated Britons because the virus was ‘running out’ of unvaccinated persons who had no immunity to infect.
‘In the UK, new cases in vaccinated people are still increasing and will shortly outstrip unvaccinated cases,’ Professor Spector added.
This is most likely due to a shortage of unvaccinated susceptible persons to infect as the vaccination becomes more widely available.
‘Although the results are concerning, it is important to note that immunizations have significantly reduced serious infections, and Covid is a considerably milder condition for most individuals after vaccination.’
The risk of extended Covid is now the key issue.’